Got a Palkia (Origin) you've been scraping XL for, and it didn't come out 100%? Before you power up — 30 seconds. We simulated the entire Master top 100 to see whether that spread is fine to build.
For Palkia (Origin), attack 15 is effectively mandatory, and the IVs are tight, so a high catch is safest. Below is the result of running the Master top 100 through a battle simulator, plus the mirror and best buddy. (Hundo 1-shield record: 68W 32L.)
Compromise IVs
15/15/15
IV-tight — an effective hundo is safest. See the verdict below.
Build it or not — at a glance
✅
Just build · 15/15/15 (effective hundo)
This Pokémon is IV-tight — aim for an effective hundo (or very close).
⚠️
Conditional · around 15/15/14
You start dropping Ursaluna and similar. If you rarely face them (low real pick rate), it's fine to run.
❌
Don't build yet · Attack 14 or below
Palkia (Origin) always loses CMP priority to the mirror at attack 14. Don't build it — wait for a better one.
🔬 Full-meta sim — all 100, who you meet & beat
1-on-1 battles vs the Master League top 100, per shield. Green = win, red = loss. (Rating 500 = even; higher = more comfortable.)
68W68%32L
500
508
535
357
412
660
260
643
214
669
502
622
646
490
358
419
578
564
535
660
593
576
428
520
894
669
555
456
500
616
312
260
880
599
476
643
462
526
716
235
637
619
576
472
514
646
581
508
322
497
508
716
710
481
687
903
386
675
294
359
535
570
285
505
564
573
353
786
821
373
865
452
452
540
480
698
716
675
634
514
351
915
619
903
482
824
704
640
687
619
760
552
590
812
687
471
751
637
909
590
⭐ Best Buddy (L51) effect — newly won matchups
Opponents you newly beat once best-buddied. The result depends on whether the opponent is best-buddied too, so both cases are shown.
Opp not BB (L50) · +4W
⭐
⭐
⭐
⭐
Opp also BB (L51) · +2W
⭐
⭐
※ The mirror and same-stat rival return to a tie when the opponent is best-buddied too (both L51). So Best Buddy only wins the mirror when the opponent isn't best-buddied.
Why attack 15 is mandatory — CMP
Attack decides priority. Attack 14 always loses to a same-stat rival.
vsMirror (Palkia (Origin) vs Palkia (Origin))
Mine (atk 14) vs Foe (atk 15)
shields0
L
269
shields1
L
403
shields2
Tie
500
Verdict by IV spread (Master League sim)
💡 15/15/15 at the top is the perfect IV (best); rows go to lower IVs downward.
Perfect·Battle-equal= win/loss identical to a hundo (no disadvantage — just use it).
Fine= it only loses to weaker (non-top) opponents, so it's acceptable to run.
N lost= it starts losing to N strong top-10 opponents — a real disadvantage.
CMP loss= at attack 14 you always lose the mirror / same-stat rivals.
‘Matchups lost’ = opponents you newly lose to at that spread (0/1/2 shields = how many shields are used).
Master League has no CP cap, so everyone is max level. When same-species (mirror) or same-stat Pokémon fire a charged move on the same turn, the higher effective attack goes first (CMP). An attack-14 Palkia (Origin) loses that priority to an attack-15 opponent. In the sim, the attack-14 mirror came out 0-shield=loss, 1-shield=loss, 2-shield=tie. In a mirror-heavy meta, attack 15 is effectively mandatory.
Where win/loss starts to split
Palkia (Origin) is IV-tight. Even dropping to 15/15/14 starts losing Ursaluna. Across the full top-100 sim, small stat cuts cross breakpoints and flip matchups, so a high-IV catch is the safer play here.
Best Buddy — depends on whether the opponent is too
Best Buddy (level +1) depends on whether the opponent is best-buddied. Against a non-best-buddied opponent (L50) you newly win 4 matchups at 1 shield; against a best-buddied one (L51), 2. Top Master legendaries are usually best-buddied, so the mirror and same-stat rivals go back to a tie when both are L51. It never hurts, but it doesn't magically win the mirror.
Note that this line moves with the meta. If usage shifts or a new Pokémon arrives, the breakpoints move and a spread that's fine today can get shaky. This analysis is for Season 28 (2026.09.08~12.01); when the season changes we re-run the full top-100 sim and update it.
⭐Best Buddy (L51) effectBB CP 4739 · L51
Best-buddying even a compromise improves every matchup and beats same-stat rivals.
Hundo record by shield count
shields 0
66W · 34L
shields 1
68W · 32L
shields 2
79W · 21L
Bottom line — attack 15 is non-negotiable (mirror CMP), IV-tight, aim high. Based on the Season 28 (2026.09.08~12.01) meta; updated when the season changes.
FAQ
Q. Do I need a hundo Palkia (Origin)?
Palkia (Origin) is IV-tight, so an effective hundo (or very close) is safest. From 15/15/14 you start losing Ursaluna. That said, if those losses are low-pick-rate, the real impact may be small.
Q. Attack is 14 — can I just build it?
Not recommended. At attack 14 you lose CMP priority to the mirror and same-stat rivals — a fight that should be 50:50 becomes 0:100.
Q. How long does this hold?
It's the Season 28 (2026.09.08~12.01) meta. When the meta shifts, the breakpoints and the compromise line move, so we re-run the full top-100 sim each season and update it.
Method
BasisSeason 28 (2026.09.08~12.01)ScopeMaster League Top 100Shields0 · 1 · 2Level50 / Best Buddy 51Battle engineGBL Note Simulator (PvPoke-based)Baseline15/15/15Last calculated2026-10-09
✔ Calculated & analyzed by GBL Note
These verdicts come from simulating each spread against the entire Master League top-100 across 0/1/2-shield scenarios with the open-source PvPoke engine. If no matchup flips versus a hundo it's 'Perfect/Battle-equal'; if it only loses to weaker (non-top) opponents it's 'Fine'; once it loses to a top-10 opponent it's 'N lost' by the number of losses. Attack 14 loses mirror priority — 'CMP loss'.
